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Christian McCaffrey
NFL · Player Props
Christian McCaffrey
RB · San Francisco 49ers
Receiving TD
San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 7, 2022 Updated Oct 23, 2022 5:01 PM UTC
NFL Props Christian McCaffrey Receiving TD

Christian McCaffrey Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+381/-785).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +389 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +381.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 43.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in the NFL.
  • Christian McCaffrey's 37.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 32.6.
  • The San Francisco 49ers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • Christian McCaffrey grades out in the 86th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a terrific 0.17 per game.
Favors Under
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 55.8 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to be a less important option in his team's passing attack near the goal line this week (17.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (26.7% in games he has played).
  • Christian McCaffrey has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (-1.0 per game) than he did last year (11.0 per game).
  • Christian McCaffrey's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 92.9% to 81.4%.
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