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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Carries
Player Prop Week 11

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Christian McCaffrey Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A rushing game script is implied by the 49ers being a 6-point favorite in this game.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to run on 46.5% of their plays: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.

The projections expect Christian McCaffrey to earn 17.9 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Among all running backs, Christian McCaffrey ranks in the 98th percentile for carries since the start of last season, accounting for 66.7% of the workload in his team's run game.

The Seattle Seahawks linebackers project as the worst LB corps in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to have just 127.3 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

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