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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-108/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the 49ers are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to be the 7th-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 43.9% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast Christian McCaffrey to total 17.2 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
  • The 49ers O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the league last year at blocking for rushers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are projected by the projection model to call just 62.0 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The 49ers have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.
  • Christian McCaffrey's 81.9% snap rate this season signifies a material progression in his offensive volume over last season's 71.5% mark.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Philadelphia's group of DTs has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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