Christian McCaffrey Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Christian McCaffrey

NFL · Player Props

Christian McCaffrey

RB · San Francisco 49ers

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Christian McCaffrey Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-108/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3-point advantage, the 49ers are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
The leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to be the 7th-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 43.9% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Christian McCaffrey to total 17.2 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
The 49ers O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the league last year at blocking for rushers.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are projected by the projection model to call just 62.0 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.
The 49ers have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.
Christian McCaffrey's 81.9% snap rate this season signifies a material progression in his offensive volume over last season's 71.5% mark.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Philadelphia's group of DTs has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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