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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Jacksonville Jaguars vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+102/-136).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run on 45.3% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect Christian McCaffrey to accumulate 17.2 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • In regards to run-blocking (and the impact it has on all run game statistics), the O-line of the 49ers profiles as the 7th-best in the league last year.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Jacksonville's group of LBs has been atrocious this year, projecting as the 8th-worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the 49ers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-fewest plays in football have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a lowly 53.5 per game on average).
  • Christian McCaffrey's 82.0% snap rate this year indicates a meaningful growth in his offensive usage over last year's 71.5% mark.

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