Christian McCaffrey Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Christian McCaffrey

NFL · Player Props

Christian McCaffrey

RB · Carolina Panthers

Carries

New York Giants vs Carolina Panthers · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Christian McCaffrey Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 10th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 63.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to garner 17.9 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among RBs.
Christian McCaffrey has earned 62.1% of his offense's carries since the start of last season, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
The New York Giants linebackers profile as the 6th-worst group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
The Carolina Panthers have faced a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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