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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Carries
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Christian McCaffrey Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers are a heavy 7.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 8th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 45.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to accrue 19.7 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among RBs.

Christian McCaffrey has garnered 68.9% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 94th percentile among running backs.

The Los Angeles Chargers defensive ends project as the 4th-worst unit in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have run the 8th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.

The San Francisco 49ers have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.4% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in the league). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

The San Francisco 49ers have elected to go for it on 4th down a lowly 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (9th-least in the league), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

More Christian McCaffrey Player Props

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