Christian McCaffrey Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Christian McCaffrey

NFL · Player Props

Christian McCaffrey

RB · Carolina Panthers

Carries

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 12, 2022 2:58 AM UTC

Analysis

Christian McCaffrey Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 25.65 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to accrue 16.2 carries this week, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
Christian McCaffrey has garnered 62.9% of his offense's carries since the start of last season, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles project as the 7th-worst collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.
The Carolina Panthers have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the league). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Carolina Panthers O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
The Carolina Panthers have been faced with a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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