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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 25.65 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to accrue 16.2 carries this week, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
  • Christian McCaffrey has garnered 62.9% of his offense's carries since the start of last season, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
  • The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles project as the 7th-worst collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.
  • The Carolina Panthers have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the league). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Carolina Panthers O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
  • The Carolina Panthers have been faced with a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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