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Christian Kirk

Christian Kirk Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Green Bay Packers

Christian Kirk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-114/-114).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Our trusted projections expect Christian Kirk to notch 6.7 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 78th percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.4 plays per game.

Christian Kirk's 3.6 adjusted catches per game this season indicates a noteable decline in his receiving skills over last season's 4.7 figure.

Christian Kirk's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 70.9% to 60.6%.

The Packers pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (61.1%) to wideouts this year (61.1%).

The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 4th-best group of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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