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Christian Kirk

Christian Kirk Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Christian Kirk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (62.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have 130.3 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.

In this game, Christian Kirk is predicted by the projections to place in the 88th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.9 targets.

With an extraordinary 23.6% Target% (83rd percentile) this year, Christian Kirk places among the wide receivers with the most usage in the NFL.

The Jacksonville offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Christian Kirk's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 70.9% to 58.2%.

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