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Christian Kirk

Christian Kirk Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns

Christian Kirk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +107 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.5% pass rate.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The predictive model expects Christian Kirk to total 7.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among WRs.

With an exceptional 20.4% Target% (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Christian Kirk places among the wideouts with the biggest workloads in football.

With an impressive 4.4 adjusted receptions per game (83rd percentile) since the start of last season, Christian Kirk places as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being projected in this game) generally mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Browns, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.1 per game) since the start of last season.

The Browns pass defense has allowed the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (54%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (54.0%).

The Browns safeties project as the 5th-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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