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Christian Kirk

Christian Kirk Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

New Orleans Saints vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Christian Kirk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-141/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -141.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the most total plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 5th-most plays in football have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a massive 62.3 per game on average).

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

In this week's game, Christian Kirk is anticipated by the projection model to land in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers with 8.7 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Saints pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (57.2%) vs. WRs this year (57.2%).

The Saints linebackers grade out as the 8th-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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