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Christian Kirk
NFL · Player Props
Christian Kirk
WR · Jacksonville Jaguars
Receptions
Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 1, 2022 Updated Sep 11, 2022 7:38 PM UTC
NFL Props Christian Kirk Receptions

Christian Kirk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -145.

Favors Over
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.1% pass rate.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars offense has played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, averaging 25.82 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Christian Kirk to earn 7.3 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among WRs.
Favors Under
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have utilized motion in their offense on 33.0% of their play-calls since the start of last season (9th-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.
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