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Christian Kirk

Christian Kirk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Green Bay Packers

Christian Kirk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Our trusted projections expect Christian Kirk to notch 6.7 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 78th percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.4 plays per game.

Christian Kirk's 43.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season signifies a material decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 63.0 mark.

Christian Kirk's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 70.9% to 60.6%.

Christian Kirk's 7.2 adjusted yards per target this year represents a significant regression in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 9.4 mark.

The Packers pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (61.1%) to wideouts this year (61.1%).

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