My Account Log Out

reorder

Christian Kirk

Christian Kirk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots

Christian Kirk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 42.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 43.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 64.1% pass rate.

Christian Kirk has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 20.3% this year, which ranks in the 75th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Christian Kirk has totaled quite a few more air yards this year (85.0 per game) than he did last year (71.0 per game).

The Jacksonville offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

The New England Patriots pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.9%) to wide receivers this year (68.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 6.5 points.

The predictive model expects the Jaguars to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Jaguars have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.2 plays per game.

Christian Kirk's 48.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season illustrates a material reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 63.0 figure.

Christian Kirk's 62.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a noteable diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last season's 70.9% rate.

More Christian Kirk Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™