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Christian Kirk

Christian Kirk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Chicago Bears vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Christian Kirk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 60.5% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Right now, the 10th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Jacksonville Jaguars.

In this week's game, Christian Kirk is expected by the model to find himself in the 78th percentile among WRs with 7.1 targets.

Christian Kirk has notched significantly more air yards this season (89.0 per game) than he did last season (71.0 per game).

Christian Kirk has been in the 76th percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) with a monstrous 51.9 figure this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Christian Kirk's 48.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year marks a remarkable regression in his receiving talent over last year's 63.0 figure.

Christian Kirk's 63.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season illustrates a noteworthy regression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 70.9% rate.

Christian Kirk's 7.3 adjusted yards per target this year shows a material regression in his receiving skills over last year's 9.4 figure.

Christian Kirk's skills in grinding out extra yardage have worsened this season, accumulating a mere 2.81 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.30 mark last season.

This year, the tough Bears defense has conceded a meager 121.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 7th-fewest in the NFL.

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