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Christian Kirk

Christian Kirk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Christian Kirk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 41.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Jaguars, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • The projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may slide.
  • In this contest, Christian Kirk is anticipated by the projection model to position himself in the 81st percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.9 targets.
  • With a remarkable 19.8% Target% (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Christian Kirk has been among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are expected by the projections to run just 60.4 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Buffalo Bills defense has allowed the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 120.0) versus WRs since the start of last season.
  • Since the start of last season, the fierce Bills pass defense has allowed the least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wideouts: a mere 3.3 YAC.

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