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Christian Kirk

Christian Kirk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Miami Dolphins vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Christian Kirk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 54.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 53.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 61.5% of their downs: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Jaguars last year (a colossal 60.0 per game on average).

In this game, Christian Kirk is expected by the projections to finish in the 86th percentile among WRs with 7.5 targets.

Christian Kirk has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 20.4% last year, which puts him in the 78th percentile when it comes to WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.13 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 9th-fewest in football.

The Dolphins safeties rank as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the league last year in defending receivers.

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