Christian Kirk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Christian Kirk

NFL · Player Props

Christian Kirk

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Christian Kirk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 53.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (63.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Jaguars.
The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
In this week's game, Christian Kirk is expected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 88th percentile among wideouts with 8.4 targets.
With a high 22.8% Target% (86th percentile) this year, Christian Kirk has been among the WRs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
Christian Kirk grades out in the 79th percentile when it comes to wide receivers this year with a massive 26.0% of his offense's air yards accumulated.

Favors Under

The Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (60.7%) vs. wideouts this year (60.7%).

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