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Christian Kirk

Christian Kirk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

Christian Kirk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.0% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Christian Kirk has run a route on 92.6% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.

THE BLITZ projects Christian Kirk to garner 8.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.

Christian Kirk has put up a monstrous 65.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 79th percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the NFL.

Christian Kirk's pass-catching effectiveness has declined this year, totaling just 6.54 yards-per-target vs a 9.53 figure last year.

The Houston Texans defense has allowed the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 126.0) versus wideouts since the start of last season.

The Houston Texans cornerbacks profile as the best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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