Christian Kirk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Christian Kirk

NFL · Player Props

Christian Kirk

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 5, 2023 1:16 AM EST

Analysis

Christian Kirk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a monstrous 60.3 per game on average).
The model projects Christian Kirk to earn 6.7 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 75th percentile among wide receivers.
Christian Kirk has been a key part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 22.3% this year, which ranks in the 82nd percentile among WRs.
Christian Kirk has totaled far more air yards this season (76.0 per game) than he did last season (67.0 per game).
Christian Kirk rates as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging an excellent 66.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.

Favors Under

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a massive 10.5-point favorite in this game.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 53.8% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
The projections expect this game to see the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This year, the formidable Bengals defense has conceded a puny 62.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 8th-best rate in football.

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