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Christian Kirk

Christian Kirk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Christian Kirk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-109/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 10th-most pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate.

The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 59.9 plays per game.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.

In this game, Christian Kirk is forecasted by the projection model to land in the 86th percentile among WRs with 8.0 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Houston's group of CBs has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

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