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Christian Kirk

Christian Kirk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Christian Kirk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (+100/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.6% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 7th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.0% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Christian Kirk to notch 8.7 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 4th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 59.9 plays per game.
  • Christian Kirk's possession skills have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 74.9% to 60.4%.
  • Christian Kirk has been among the worst wideouts in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 2.64 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 4th percentile.
  • The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Completion% in football (61.2%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (61.2%).
  • The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus wide receivers since the start of last season, conceding 7.34 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in football.

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