My Account Log Out

reorder

Christian Kirk

Christian Kirk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Christian Kirk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-115/-113).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.4 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in football.

Christian Kirk has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (93.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (81.9%).

THE BLITZ projects Christian Kirk to notch 7.8 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to call the 3rd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Christian Kirk has notched quite a few less air yards this year (69.0 per game) than he did last year (75.0 per game).

Christian Kirk's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 72.6% to 68.6%.

The Tennessee Titans pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.88 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in football.

The Tennessee Titans safeties grade out as the 3rd-best safety corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

More Christian Kirk Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™