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Chris Rodriguez Jr.
NFL · Player Props
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
RB · Washington Commanders
Receiving Yards
Washington Commanders vs New York Giants · Week 11, 2023 Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM EST
NFL Props Chris Rodriguez Jr. Receiving Yards

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -135.

Favors Over
  • The Commanders have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 14.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders to pass on 61.0% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 130.3 total plays called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The 10th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Commanders this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average).
  • The Giants pass defense has shown weak efficiency versus running backs this year, yielding 6.79 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in the league.
Favors Under
  • An extreme running game script is implied by the Commanders being a huge 7.5-point favorite this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the New York Giants, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 33.7 per game) this year.
  • With a feeble 0.0% Target% (1st percentile) this year, Chris Rodriguez stands among the pass-catching RBs with the smallest workloads in football.
  • This year, the formidable Giants defense has conceded a paltry 21.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing RBs: the 3rd-fewest in football.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, New York's group of LBs has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 9th-best in the NFL.
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