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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Chargers vs New Orleans Saints

Chris Olave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Saints are forecasted by the projections to run 65.5 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-most among all teams this week.

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

In this contest, Chris Olave is projected by the predictive model to finish in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers with 8.3 targets.

While Chris Olave has accounted for 18.0% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of New Orleans's passing attack in this contest at 25.2%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Saints to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.0% pass rate.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Chargers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 30.3 per game) this year.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Saints ranks as the worst in the league this year.

Chris Olave's receiving performance has worsened this year, compiling a mere 3.9 adjusted catches compared to 5.3 last year.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Los Angeles's CB corps has been excellent this year, projecting as the 10th-best in the NFL.

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