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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Chris Olave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints will be rolling out backup quarterback Spencer Rattler in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.62 seconds per play.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.

Opposing offenses have averaged 43.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Buccaneers defense this year: 2nd-most in football.

In this contest, Chris Olave is anticipated by the predictive model to place in the 87th percentile among wideouts with 8.2 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New Orleans Saints to pass on 53.8% of their plays: the 6th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Chris Olave's 50.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 68.1.

The New Orleans Saints offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all passing game stats across the board.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's collection of CBs has been very good this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

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