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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

New Orleans Saints vs Philadelphia Eagles

Chris Olave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-240/+175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -240.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Saints being a -3-point underdog in this game.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

Opposing teams have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game against the Eagles defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.

The model projects Chris Olave to garner 8.7 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 91st percentile among wideouts.

Chris Olave has been in the 94th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) with a colossal 66.8 figure since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 8th-least pass-focused team in football (57.3% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the New Orleans Saints.

At the moment, the 4th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the New Orleans Saints.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the New Orleans Saints grades out as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season.

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