Chris Olave Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Chris Olave

NFL · Player Props

Chris Olave

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receptions

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 1:51 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Olave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Saints will be rolling with backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Saints are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 5th-most in the league.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 7th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 57.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Completion% in football (63.2%) vs. wide receivers this year (63.2%).
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers rank as the 8th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.
The New Orleans Saints have risked going for it on 4th down a lowly 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which usually means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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