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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

New Orleans Saints vs Seattle Seahawks

Chris Olave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to garner 10.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among WRs.

Chris Olave's 69.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 94th percentile for wide receivers.

The New Orleans Saints offensive line ranks as the best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-least in football.

The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

The New Orleans Saints have elected to go for it on 4th down just 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

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