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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Chargers vs New Orleans Saints

Chris Olave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Saints are forecasted by the projections to run 65.5 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-most among all teams this week.

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

In this contest, Chris Olave is projected by the predictive model to finish in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers with 8.3 targets.

While Chris Olave has accounted for 18.0% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of New Orleans's passing attack in this contest at 25.2%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Saints to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.0% pass rate.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Chargers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 30.3 per game) this year.

After accruing 125.0 air yards per game last season, Chris Olave has produced significantly less this season, now pacing 49.0 per game.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Saints ranks as the worst in the league this year.

Chris Olave's 48.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year signifies a material diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last year's 69.0 rate.

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