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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

Chris Olave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 69.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 60.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs this week, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical game plan.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

In this game, Chris Olave is predicted by the model to secure a spot in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.7 targets.

Chris Olave has put up a staggering 113.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Chris Olave ranks in the 94th percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) with a remarkable 67.0 mark since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 5th-least pass-centric team in football (56.2% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Saints.

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.28 seconds per play.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the New Orleans Saints ranks as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season.

Chris Olave's talent in generating extra yardage have diminished this season, compiling just 2.42 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.70 figure last season.

The Atlanta Falcons defense has conceded the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 120.0) vs. WRs since the start of last season.

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