Chris Olave Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Chris Olave

NFL · Player Props

Chris Olave

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs New Orleans Saints · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:26 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Olave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-151/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -151.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the New Orleans Saints are expected by the projections to run 67.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.
The New Orleans Saints have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 66.4 plays per game.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
In this game, Chris Olave is expected by the predictive model to find himself in the 94th percentile among wide receivers with 9.5 targets.

Favors Under

When talking about pass protection (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the New Orleans Saints profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.
Chris Olave's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 60.1% to 56.2%.
Chris Olave's 7.1 adjusted yards per target this year marks a material diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year's 8.4 figure.
With a poor 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) this year, Chris Olave stands as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL in the open field.

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