Chris Olave Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Chris Olave

NFL · Player Props

Chris Olave

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs New Orleans Saints · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Olave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to pass on 62.7% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
The model projects the New Orleans Saints to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 68.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Saints have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
This week, Chris Olave is projected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 95th percentile among wide receivers with 9.5 targets.

Favors Under

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.6 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.
Chris Olave's 55.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this season shows a a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 60.1% figure.
Chris Olave's 7.3 adjusted yards per target this season conveys a an impressive regression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 8.4 mark.
With a bad 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) this year, Chris Olave places as one of the leading WRs in the game in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.
This year, the tough Houston Texans defense has yielded the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wide receivers: a meager 7.5 yards.

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