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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

New England Patriots vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Chris Olave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 66.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 55.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Saints have been the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.
  • The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
  • In this game, Chris Olave is forecasted by the projection model to find himself in the 95th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.3 targets.
  • Chris Olave has accumulated many more air yards this year (134.0 per game) than he did last year (114.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Saints O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • Chris Olave has been among the bottom wide receivers in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.
  • The New England Patriots linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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