Chris Olave Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

NFL · Player Props

Chris Olave

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Chris Olave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 55.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints as the 8th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Saints to call the 6th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 2nd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 64.7 per game on average).
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.
In this week's game, Chris Olave is anticipated by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 94th percentile among wideouts with 9.4 targets.

Favors Under

As it relates to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Saints grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year.
Chris Olave ranks as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, completing a mere 57.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 16th percentile among wideouts
Chris Olave's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this year, totaling a mere 6.68 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.44 mark last year.
Chris Olave is positioned as one of the worst WRs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.
As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Minnesota's collection of safeties has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.