Chris Olave Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Chris Olave

NFL · Player Props

Chris Olave

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Olave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-150/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 66.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to garner 10.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among WRs.
Chris Olave has accrued a whopping 169.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among wideouts.
Chris Olave's 69.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 94th percentile for wide receivers.

Favors Under

The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-least in football.
Chris Olave has been among the bottom WRs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.
The Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded the 8th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 137.0) vs. wideouts this year.
The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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