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Chris Olave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-110/-110).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Saints are a big 8.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to accumulate 8.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among wideouts.Chris Olave has totaled a whopping 124.0 air yards per game this year: 99th percentile among wide receivers.Chris Olave's 67.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 92nd percentile for wide receivers.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 9th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 56.5 plays per game.Chris Olave has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in just 61.8% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile among wideoutsChris Olave has been among the worst WRs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.
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