Chris Olave Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Chris Olave

NFL · Player Props

Chris Olave

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Chris Olave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 53.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 53.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Saints will be forced to start backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to total 8.3 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.
Chris Olave has put up a whopping 126.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among WRs.
Chris Olave's 67.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 92nd percentile for wideouts.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-least pass-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Chris Olave has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in a mere 60.5% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 19th percentile among wide receivers
Chris Olave has been among the worst WRs in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 1st percentile.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus wide receivers this year, conceding 7.46 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in the league.

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