Chris Olave Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Chris Olave

NFL · Player Props

Chris Olave

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Olave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Saints will be starting backup QB Andy Dalton in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to earn 7.6 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 81st percentile among WRs.
Chris Olave has put up a colossal 133.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among wideouts.
Chris Olave's 69.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 94th percentile for WRs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Chris Olave has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the league, catching a measly 60.3% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 20th percentile among wide receivers
Chris Olave has been among the worst wideouts in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has given up the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (63.6%) vs. wide receivers this year (63.6%).

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