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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 9

New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Chris Olave Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+199/-296).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +211 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +199.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
  • Chris Olave has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 22.6% this year, which puts him in the 86th percentile among wideouts.
  • Chris Olave has notched a colossal 139.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Chris Olave's 68.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 94th percentile for WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Chris Olave has been among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, hauling in just 59.8% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 18th percentile among WRs
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 6th-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.
  • The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-fastest in football since the start of last season.
  • The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in football). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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