Chris Olave Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Chris Olave

NFL · Player Props

Chris Olave

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving TD

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 6:56 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Olave Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+166/-238).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +244 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +166.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 27.79 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to be much more involved in his offense's air attack near the end zone this week (23.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (18.5% in games he has played).
Chris Olave has put up a colossal 154.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among wide receivers.
Chris Olave's 69.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 96th percentile for WRs.

Favors Under

Chris Olave has been among the worst possession receivers in football, completing just 58.4% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 17th percentile among wideouts
The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the league). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.
The New Orleans Saints have gone for it on 4th down a measly 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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