Chris Olave Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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NFL · Player Props

Chris Olave

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving TD

Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 20, 2022 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Olave Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+190/-270).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals cornerbacks profile as the 4th-worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line has given their QB 2.74 seconds before the pass (3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 10th-least in football.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has surrendered the 3rd-least passing TDs in football to wide receivers: 0.33 per game this year.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on just 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in football). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.
The New Orleans Saints have gone for it on 4th down a mere 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.