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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals

Chris Olave Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+182/-265).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -262 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -265.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 5th-most in the league.

The New Orleans Saints O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all air attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Completion% in football (63.2%) vs. wide receivers this year (63.2%).

The Cincinnati Bengals defense has allowed the least passing touchdowns in football to wide receivers: 0.20 per game this year.

The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers rank as the 8th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

The New Orleans Saints have risked going for it on 4th down a lowly 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which usually means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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