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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

Chris Olave Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+154/-215).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +183 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +154.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Chris Olave has been an integral part of his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 20.8% this year, which places him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.

Chris Olave has compiled a monstrous 119.0 air yards per game this year: 99th percentile among WRs.

Chris Olave's 67.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 93rd percentile for WRs.

The Atlanta Falcons defense has allowed the 7th-most passing TDs in the NFL to WRs: 1.00 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 5th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints have called the 9th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.3 plays per game.

Chris Olave has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL, catching just 61.5% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 16th percentile among wide receivers

The Atlanta Falcons pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season.

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