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Chris Moore

Chris Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Chris Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-140/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Houston Texans will be rolling with backup quarterback Kyle Allen in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 1.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The Texans are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 2nd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have called the 5th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 54.4 plays per game.
  • The Houston Texans offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • The Miami Dolphins pass defense has conceded the 8th-lowest Completion% in football (63.8%) to wide receivers this year (63.8%).
  • The Houston Texans O-line has afforded their quarterback just 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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