Chris Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Chris Moore

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 5:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 3.4% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 8th-most in the league.
After averaging 43.0 air yards per game last season, Chris Moore has been rising this season, currently averaging 51.0 per game.
With a fantastic 5.25 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (79th percentile) since the start of last season, Chris Moore rates among the best pass-catching WRs in the league in picking up extra yardage.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Titans offense to be the 3rd-worst paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.90 seconds per snap.
Chris Moore's 38.3% Route Participation% this season shows a a significant drop-off in his passing offense workload over last season's 71.0% rate.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
Chris Moore's 23.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season signifies a a noteworthy diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last season's 35.0 rate.