Chris Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Chris Moore

NFL · Player Props

Chris Moore

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 11, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Chris Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Chris Moore has been among the best WRs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a stellar 5.48 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 87th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 7th-least pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Moore to be a less important option in his offense's air attack this week (8.7% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (14.3% in games he has played).
The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

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