Chris Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Chris Moore

NFL · Player Props

Chris Moore

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 7, 2022 3:55 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.2% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
The Texans are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 2nd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 64.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Chris Moore has run fewer routes this year (61.3% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (32.2%).

Favors Under

The Houston Texans have called the 9th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 56.0 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers profile as the 6th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Houston Texans O-line has allowed their quarterback just 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.

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