Chris Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Chris Moore

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Houston Texans · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 5:00 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Texans are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Moore to be much more involved in his team's passing attack this week (13.2% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (7.1% in games he has played).
Chris Moore has been among the most sure-handed receivers in football, hauling in a terrific 92.9% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 95th percentile among wideouts.
Chris Moore has been among the best WRs in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging an impressive 6.46 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 87th percentile.

Favors Under

The Houston Texans have run the 3rd-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 59.7 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.4 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the NFL.
Chris Moore has posted a meager 10.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 16th percentile among wide receivers.
The Houston Texans offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Chicago Bears defense has allowed the 8th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 135.0) vs. wideouts since the start of last season.