Chris Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Chris Moore

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 11:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-113/-121).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.6% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The Texans are a massive 10-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 25.58 seconds per snap.
Chris Moore has been among the most effective pass-catchers in football, averaging an impressive 9.25 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 78th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the league.
Chris Moore has totaled a measly 8.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 15th percentile among wideouts.
Chris Moore's 13.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the worst in the NFL: 21st percentile for WRs.
The Houston Texans offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Denver Broncos defense has yielded the 9th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 140.0) versus wide receivers since the start of last season.